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Media Create Sales: Week 27, 2013 (Jul 01 - Jul 07)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
SporeCrawler
Member
Isnt the boxed version of new super luigi being released soon too?
Impressive.
I think this is one of the harder weeks to predict "anything" for Wii U. For one we don't know just exactly how much brand power Pikmin has and the game didn't come out until Saturday, so I think some sales might bleed into next week. As you said as well, Wii U didn't get a price drop and that's usually the cause for some more effective surges in sales.
That said, the Wii U is getting a new bundle, has NSLU in the backseat to help give a push and has an extensive marketing behind Pikmin 3. The efforts to push it and the console in the last weeks have been impressive to say the least.
I suspect Wii U will hit the million milestone at the very least. 32k shouldn't be too hard to hit if all the stars are aligned.
It was released four days ago in Japan. Got some televised marketing as well.
D
Deleted member 125677
Unconfirmed Member
Prediction:
Pikmin: 105k
Wii U: 35k
Pikmin: 105k
Wii U: 35k
Takamura-San
Member
I would say:
Pikmin: 60k give or take
WiiU 20k
I think i read that is only 2 days of sale.
Pikmin: 60k give or take
WiiU 20k
I think i read that is only 2 days of sale.
Oh whoops, 2 days only? Of Pikmin/hardware or both?
Hmm, I'm not entirely sure but something here doesn't seem quite likely.
DaSorcerer7
Member
Pikmin 3 = 112k
Wii U = 37k
Wii U = 37k
BishopLamont
Banned
That was around the price drop and Vita is a handheld, if SS did so much for Vita then Toukiden wouldn't be outselling it and look how much hardware Toukiden pushed. 60k isn't realistic, you're the only one who even thinks this.
ambientmystic
Member
Ah, what the heck, it's fun to guess.
Pikminz 3:- 101k
Wii U:- 37k
Pikminz 3:- 101k
Wii U:- 37k
LunaticHigh
Member
Pikmin 3: 108k
WiiU: 25k
WiiU: 25k
Pie and Beans
Look for me on the local news, I'll be the guy arrested for trying to burn down a Nintendo exec's house.
Reading is fundamental. I position 40k as an acceptable bump.
BishopLamont
Banned
So 40k is acceptable but 30k is hugely worrying? lol
Pie and Beans
Look for me on the local news, I'll be the guy arrested for trying to burn down a Nintendo exec's house.
Yes, thats how I feel. This is the WiiU's only chance for a big Nintendo IP pushed bump before December really. I think it has to make its console at least sell on the way from 40-50k for it to be seen as something remotely desirable.
I mean you can keep laughing it up of course. Pikmin 3 releasing for 2 days may skew shit into next week though, dunno.
This week Wii U hardware should be compared with Persona 4: The Golden week, not with SS that came with a price cut.
Yoshi
Headmaster of Console Warrior Jugendstrafanstalt
Have all of those happy individuals bought a Vita last week? Also: Did anyone else buy a Vita?
Your Wii U expectations seem rather high.
ambientmystic
Member
NintendoGAF hype rising.
Indeed they did. I sent them all a thank you note personally.
43 people that regret the purchase because they're awful people, and one short-sighted dude that wanted a PSP.
Yeah, they're a little out of whack because I didn't take the '2 days' thing into account. I'll stand by 'em anyway!
AdventureRacing
Member
Pikmin isn't a big nintendo IP, that's the problem. The only reason it's being positioned as one is because there is nothing else.
BishopLamont
Banned
How much hardware Pikmin 3 pushes doesn't really matter since hardware sales will slide down again after, its the end of the year when all the heavy hitters are out is when the hardware sales matter, that is the time to try to create a sustained bump that will last long.
ambientmystic
Member
Exactly the reason why it'll do bloody well. There's nothing else to buy, Japanese Wii U owners are fucking starving for any, and all quality titles.
Pikmin 3 is it.
Psycho_Mantis
Banned
wasn't 25k for DQX and Game and Wario? 30k seems a bit low for a new bundle, NSMLU and Pikmin.
pieatorium
Member
It was a new IP at the time in a genre that we rarely see on console though.
Pikmin 3 - 85k
Wii U - 23k
Wii U has already had a couple minor boosts the last couple of weeks in preparation for Pikmin 3... so I'm not expecting a big hardware leap this week. I don't honestly think the White premium SKU will do much. I don't see New Super Luigi doing much either (it'll sell to the converted or have been downloaded already....it won't push new systems sales).
A Pikmin themed Wii U would have done much better (even something as simple as a premium white wii U with some Pikmin character decals).
Wii U - 23k
Wii U has already had a couple minor boosts the last couple of weeks in preparation for Pikmin 3... so I'm not expecting a big hardware leap this week. I don't honestly think the White premium SKU will do much. I don't see New Super Luigi doing much either (it'll sell to the converted or have been downloaded already....it won't push new systems sales).
A Pikmin themed Wii U would have done much better (even something as simple as a premium white wii U with some Pikmin character decals).
Yoshi
Headmaster of Console Warrior Jugendstrafanstalt
That's incredibly mean of you, when I bought my Vita, I never received a lovely letter from you
.Nintendo was too busy making the Chibi Robo Special one to prize it at a contest.
But yeah. I was kinda hopping a special limited edition Pikmin Wii U to drive interest up...
Persona 4 didn't have a bundle.
Pikmin 3 doesn't have a bundle but Nintendo has released the white WiiU alongside the game and NSLU.
Project Diva week would be more comparable
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=489968
Not that I'm expecting >50k. Around 35k would be my bet.
shinra-bansho
Member
Below 30K would be somewhat alarming.
I expect about the same numbers as P4G for Pikmin, with hardware around the same level 30-35K.
40K would be pretty good.
Edit: Oh, I forgot that a new SKU released. Maybe 35-40K should be expected, below that is something of an underperformance.
I don't think a white Wii U really counts as a new color does it?
I expect about the same numbers as P4G for Pikmin, with hardware around the same level 30-35K.
40K would be pretty good.
Edit: Oh, I forgot that a new SKU released. Maybe 35-40K should be expected, below that is something of an underperformance.
I don't think a white Wii U really counts as a new color does it?
The white WiiU was already on the market, the normal set is white. It's just that now the Premium set is also White. So I don't think this could be compared to a bundle.
Also 4 days VS 2 days.
MaschinenZimmer
Banned
Anything in the 30k segment would be a disaster for the WiiU. Neither Bayonetta nor W101 will sell more units.
The next big releases that could give the WiiU a boost would be X, SMTxFE and Mario Kart. None of them will be released this year, so 2013 would be a lost year for Nintendo on the console side.
The next big releases that could give the WiiU a boost would be X, SMTxFE and Mario Kart. None of them will be released this year, so 2013 would be a lost year for Nintendo on the console side.
Bruno MB
Member
By the way, Pikmin was never niche in Japan. Of course, it's been almost 10 years since the last main entry was released so currently its sales potential is unknown. But calling it a niche franchise is a mistake unless we consider that Tales of or Yakuza are niche too.
Edit: What's the point in those Wii U / PS Vita comparisons? They don't make any sense to me.
Edit: What's the point in those Wii U / PS Vita comparisons? They don't make any sense to me.
Ah, didn't know or remember that.
I guess Persona 4 week would be a good comparison then, yes.
pieatorium
Member
also a similar time of year for the release, june and july
You think Super Mario 3D World isn't going to have any effect on hardware sales?
Exterminieren
Banned
Um... Super Mario 3D World?
It was pretty niche for the first six weeks or so. Then it jumped back into the charts.
Moral Panic
Member
Prediction:
Pickmin 110K
WiiU 35K
Optimistic because Vita has had similar jumps. Big release + new colour means that WiiU has to at least clear 30K or it's really doomed.
Pickmin 110K
WiiU 35K
Optimistic because Vita has had similar jumps. Big release + new colour means that WiiU has to at least clear 30K or it's really doomed.
Sammy Samusu
Member
Prediction:
Wii U - 22k
Pikmin - 100k
Wii U - 22k
Pikmin - 100k
Canis lupus
Member
Predixion:
Pikmin 3: 95k
WiiU: 38k
Pikmin 3: 95k
WiiU: 38k
MaschinenZimmer
Banned
While I understand that I shouldn't underestimate the selling power of a Mario game. I have a hard time imagine myself 3D World being a huge system seller. Especially since the Japanese audience prefers the 2D versions of Mario and there is already one, NSMBU, on the WiiU. So I guess the hardcore Mario fans already have bought a WiiU.