Heh. I'd decided against doing the old PSP vs Wii comparison until specifically requested.perfectchaos007 said:At this weeks rate, the Wii will catch up to the PSP's sales in ____ years.
I need your help on this one josh
PantherLotus said:GRAPHS
I don't know if I should be offended or not. Define "buy into".Segata Sanshiro said:The "10-year cycle" is the biggest pile of marketing shit I have ever seen anyone swallow. People who buy into that automatically identify themselves as retarded as far as I'm concerned.
JoshuaJslone said:Wii comparisons: After 94 weeks, Wii is where GBA was at 89.5 weeks (December 4, 2002), where DS was at 70.1 weeks (April 2, 2006), where PS2 was at 97.8 weeks (January 11, 2002), and where PSP was at 153.2 weeks (November 12, 2007).
bcn-ron said:I'm not sure what will happen. In my opinion, it's possible that the PS3 will stay for a couple years after the introduction of the next console, but it depends on price points. If Sony introduces a 40000+ Yen PS4 alongside a 15000 Yen PS3, I'd say it's quite likely. It's too much of an up-sell. If Sony's lesson learned from this gen though is "go cheap", and PS4 launches at below 30000, it's probably not going to work out this way.
Now tell me whether or not I "bought into" the ten-year cycle, and if yes, what's so retarded about my explanation.
Gaborn said:There's nothing wrong with your analysis that I can see, the joke/stupid thing about the "ten year life cycle" claim is that when Sony stated it they framed it in terms that seemed to imply it'd be 10 years until we saw a successor console. Since you avoided that canard I doubt people would consider you in the naive category, people that believe the PS4 will debut around 2016 are stupid.
Cheesemeister said:The thing about the "10-year plan" marketing is that it's attempting to mislead consumers into believing that the next system won't come out until 10 years later, which is blatantly and flagrantly false. Once the successor is released and even beforehand, software releases start tapering off and dying out altogether, even if the hardware is still on shelves.
We should see the PS4 around Fall 2011.
Pureauthor said:The way you two are discussing it implies a gap of 8 years until the PS4's release, which is only slightly less ridiculous than a gap of 10 years.
Minsc said:It will be interesting to see the order and when the next generation systems come out. A lot of people feel that the Nintendo will be first out of the gate much earlier than the other two, followed by the Microsoft and then, just like before, Sony a year later.
duckroll said:It's always sad when people don't stop when they're told to stop. It's like a train speeding towards a concrete wall. Alas, it's too late now.
WarLox said:I'm scared to comment on sales numbers in a sales thread. I dont know how bans work around here.
PantherLotus said:Let's stop pretending that Sony meant anything other than the marketing bullshit "this machine will last twice as long as any other platform." It's cute to spin it to mean that the first half of its life will be concurrent with the PS2 and the last half with the PS4, but it's still bullshit.
It was a marketing tactic to convince their target audience that they had superior technology. It's not rocket science, people.
WarLox said:I'm scared to comment on sales numbers in a sales thread. I dont know how bans work around here.
Kurosaki Ichigo said:First day sales
PS2 Super Robot Taisen Z - 270,000
NDS World Destruction - 43,000
WII Disaster Day of Crisis - 10,000
Stumpokapow said:It's not very hard...
If you're wrong and you're humble, people will correct you and you're learn.
If you're right and you're humble, people will read your posts and maybe comment.
If you're right and you're cocky, you'll get groupies and the rest of us will roll our eyes.
If you're wrong and you're cocky, you'll be laughed out of town.
If you don't know because you don't know, someone will tell you.
If you don't know because you don't want to know, someone will tell you to go away.
Stumpokapow said:It's not very hard...
If you're wrong and you're humble, people will correct you and you're learn.
If you're right and you're humble, people will read your posts and maybe comment.
If you're right and you're cocky, you'll get groupies and the rest of us will roll our eyes.
If you're wrong and you're cocky, you'll be laughed out of town.
If you don't know because you don't know, someone will tell you.
If you don't know because you don't want to know, someone will tell you to go away.
Stumpokapow said:It's not very hard...
If you're wrong and you're humble, people will correct you and you're learn.
If you're right and you're humble, people will read your posts and maybe comment.
If you're right and you're cocky, you'll get groupies and the rest of us will roll our eyes.
If you're wrong and you're cocky, you'll be laughed out of town.
If you don't know because you don't know, someone will tell you.
If you don't know because you don't want to know, someone will tell you to go away.
Stumpokapow said:It's not very hard...
If you're wrong and you're humble, people will correct you and you're learn.
If you're right and you're humble, people will read your posts and maybe comment.
If you're right and you're cocky, you'll get groupies and the rest of us will roll our eyes.
If you're wrong and you're cocky, you'll be laughed out of town.
If you don't know because you don't know, someone will tell you.
If you don't know because you don't want to know, someone will tell you to go away.
Cygnus X-1 said:I'm interested in the %-difference between previous- and present week for both handhelds and consoles (cannot read directly).
donny2112 said:I also don't necessarily think they meant precisely 10 years, but rather "well into the next console cycle" and as console cycles tend to be 5 years ... yeah. I personally think this console cycle will last 7+ years, so a 10-year PS3 wouldn't be much beyond that. It's the Sony hubris that is laughable to buy in to, though, as opposed to simply the raw statement.
That's my viewpoint, anyways.
Dragona Akehi said:Ducky can't change tags, and this one was self-chosen.
I thought I had made a point about how it doesn't really hinge solely on an absolute magnitude of success for the platform. Xbox had to go early because it was still bleeding money at the end of its life. Gamecube had to go because a)it didn't move much software anymore and b)making 50$ of profit per sold Wii is more attractive than making 15$ per Gamecube, and absolute hardware numbers could really only go up with a new generation launching at an immediate mass-market price.Segata Sanshiro said:Essentially, if you think a system that is doing this badly two years into its lifespan is going to have any kind of support eight years from now beyond "one shooter per year lol Dreamcast" support, you're nuts. I don't doubt Sony would like to. I'd never doubt that for a minute. But one need only look at how fast support is dwindling for the PSP, even internally at Sony, to see what is going to happen with the PS3.
PantherLotus said:Specific to which charts, please? % increase in total weekly sales (each last week being 100%?), total market share (total % change each week?), or which, exactly? I think this could be an interesting addition, but not sure exactly what is being asked.
Cygnus X-1 said:The second supposition is the right one: total % change each week. it could be useful to see some tendences compared to the % of actual market share.
For example: what is DS's total makret share versus PSP of this week comparred to last week?
If differences are too small to be significant, a monthly %-change could also be significant.
Die Squirrel Die said:I also think that we will see a longer cycle this generation, largely because of third parties. They've taken so long to get going, and had to invest so much, that I can't see them wanting to do it all again on even more advanced hardware, with even higher expectations from gamers, anytime soon.
Cumulative shares always move in the direction of the weekly shares (which PantherLotus provides as a pie chart edit: or even better, as seen above). Always. You can't tell by how much they move without grinding more numbers, of course.Cygnus X-1 said:The second supposition is the right one: total % change each week. it could be useful to see some tendences compared to the % of actual market share.
For example: what is DS's total makret share versus PSP of this week comparred to last week?
If differences are too small to be significant, a monthly %-change could also be significant.
Something can still physically be on the shelves without being relevant, even if it's still seeing success elsewhere in the world. Like Xbox in 2004, or Famicom in 2003.bcn-ron said:The PS3's total lifespan will not be determined by its absolute hardware sales, much less by its Japanese hardware sales alone. It will be determined by how long third-party software royalties come rolling in, no matter where from.
It's doing shit in Japan, I know that too. System lifespans are a global issue though, and elsewhere in the world, the PS3 seems to be moving software just fine. It's easy enough to point at the Gamecube, with its similar Japanese hardware sales curve, and predict that everything that happened there (third-party abandonment, quick EOL) is just as likely to happen to the PS3. GC may be the closest point of reference available, but that doesn't make it accurate in the context of lifespan. The PS3 will not be pulled off the shelves due to selling poorly in one market. Not even in a Media Create thread.
Yes.JoshuaJSlone said:Something can still physically be on the shelves without being relevant, even if it's still seeing success elsewhere in the world. Like Xbox in 2004, or Famicom in 2003.
PantherLotus said:Code:[B][U]Hardware | This Week | Last Week | Last 4 Weeks | YTD | LTD [/b][/u] DS | 61,242 | 63,859 | 232,952 | 2,306,559 | 23,479,163 PSP | 28,674 | 30,156 | 134,956 | 2,698,699 | 10,359,129 WII | 29,921 | 29,686 | 128,490 | 2,163,844 | 6,780,004 PS3 | 8,156 | 8,053 | 34,301 | 639,404 | 2,315,381 360 | 13,777 | 28,188 | 46,133 | 177,640 | 685,701
[B][U]Hardware | This Week | Last Week | Last 4 Weeks | YTD | LTD [/b][/u]
DS | 61,242 | 63,859 | 232,952 | 2,306,559 | 23,479,[b]609[/b]
PSP | 28,674 | 30,156 | 134,956 | 2[b],757,529[/b] | 10,[b]422,606[/b]
WII | 29,921 | 29,686 | 128,490 | 2,163,844 | 6,780,00[b]3[/b]
PS3 | 8,156 | 8,053 | 34,301 | 6[b]73,975[/b] | 2,315,[b]646[/b]
360 | 13,777 | 28,188 | 46,133 | 177,6[b]04[/b] | 68[b]4,944[/b]
Psychotext said:Poor Jimbo... but platform preference should never be allowed to cloud your sales age views.
Cosmozone said:Disaster did better than I thought - still bad of course.
InsaneKurosaki Ichigo said:Also, 11/27 or 27th November will be the fun day of the year:
NDS Layton Kyouju to Saigo no Jikan Ryokou
NDS Chrono Trigger
NDS Higurashi no Nakukoru ni Kizuna: Dai-Ni-Kan - Sou
NDS Saka-Tsuku DS: Touch and Direct
NDS Tamagotchi Kira Kira Omisecchi
PSP Higurashi Daybreak Portable
PSP Kenka Banchou 3: Zenkoku Seiha
PSP Musou Orochi: Maou Sairin
PSP Patapon 2: Don-Chaka
PS3/360 World Soccer Winning Eleven 2009
WII Mojipittan Wii Deluxe
WII Ougon no Kizuna (haven't seen this, gamefaqs mistake?)
WII Naruto Shippuuden Gekitou Ninja Taisen EX3
WII Rune Factory Frontier
WII Suzumiya Haruhi no Gekidou
JoshuaJSlone said:Something can still physically be on the shelves without being relevant, even if it's still seeing success elsewhere in the world. Like Xbox in 2004, or Famicom in 2003.
Kurosaki Ichigo said:An update to last-thread post about releases on the 11/27, previous to Nintendo event and TGS, which will definitely tell us more about the releases for year end, maybe adding some more meat for the day of the year.
Insane
TalibKweli said:The YTD race between PSP and DS just got interesting.
donny2112 said:If anyone disagrees, please post what you have, but if your YTD matches mine and your LTD is different, check here first for verification of your numbers through Dec. 30, 2007.
donny2112 said:Sneak preview:
2008 Japanese HW Sales Rankings
1. PSP
2. NDS
3. WII
4. PS3
5. PS2
6. 360
PSP is 450K ahead with a new model launching in October.
cvxfreak said:Nikkei just confirmed a DS model though! This is gonna be interesting...