The chance for that to happen is very very low.Too bad it will probably barely surpass the GC (if it does at all).
Grim prediction...No console is going to hit 10 million during this new gen.
The chance for that to happen is very very low.Too bad it will probably barely surpass the GC (if it does at all).
Grim prediction...No console is going to hit 10 million during this new gen.
That's a crazy prediction someone pulled out of thin air. Hard to pin down what the total will be, but considering it was well-reviewed in Famitsu, it was sold out at most places before launch, and as of today it is #5 on Amazon's game ranking (among all games on all platforms), I'd guess 20K minimum, 45K maximum.
Grim prediction...
Dragon Quest VII - Feb 7What's the next big game?
X will perform much, much better than Xenoblade; Xenoblade has a strong reputation, and it's one of the most beloved titles of the last years; it did not seel well, but it set the ground for a sequel (or a quasi-sequel) to do well. It seems Nintendo will promote it better than they did for Xenoblade.
Very much agreed. Also the retail sales probably don't tell us how many people actually played and enjoyed XB as the audience it appealed to wasn't that invested anymore in the Wii at the point XB arrived so many more probably played it used. You can easily buy a console used to play just one game too, it isn't just Vita.
Case in point: XB used prices start at 4700 yen on Amazon, that's less than 1000 yen from the new price. The Last Story on the other hand totally collapsed both for the new (1750 yen) and the used version (730 yen).
I personally preferred TLS (but I also liked FFXIII, better than XIII-2), but JRPG fans were just eating up XB. I think Monolith Soft's next game on Wii U should easily double XB in upfront sales.
I bought tls at 5000 yen and loved every second of it
800k first week?Dragon Quest VII - Feb 7
Will DQX even do much on the WiiU? Hasn't it sold only around 500k because it's an MMO. Will those people even switch to the WiiU version and buy a WiiU for it? The WiiU version doesn't look all that different either.
800k first week?
Yep, sometime in March apparently (with the beta coming in Feb in the premium bundles).Wait isn't Dragon Quest X also out Q1?
One could say (lack of) third-party support fucked up Wii growth mid way.Handheld domination combined with rapidly ageing population and it's not that far streched. Would have probably happened last gen if it had been normal generation but Wii was able to hit all the right notes and sold to customers that otherwise were not interested in gaming.
Considering that Wii sold 12.7 million units, do yo really expect Wii U to easily reach over 10 million sales?
Media Create 2012 Top 30: http://www.4gamer.net/games/999/G999903/20130125003/
That would be a pretty good number for a game like that, right?That's a crazy prediction someone pulled out of thin air. Hard to pin down what the total will be, but considering it was well-reviewed in Famitsu, it was sold out at most places before launch, and as of today it is #5 on Amazon's game ranking (among all games on all platforms), I'd guess 20K minimum, 45K maximum.
I think Wii Party U is more of a wildcard this time around, in the same category as Wii Fit U. Wii Fit sold about 3.56 million (and Wii Fit Plus sold about 2.33 million) for the Wii, but i think the highest LTD prediction i've seen for Wii Fit U so far is around 500k somewhere. Of course, predictions doesnt necessarily indicate anything how something will actually sell, but i guess that people are wondering how the success of the Wii-branded games will transfer over to the WiiU.I see that Wii Party U is getting ignored. I didn´t watch the Nintendo direct live and if I didn´t catch up on watching this direct I wouldn´t have known about this game, because for some reason it doesn´t get mentioned often. It´s an important game and its predecessor managed to sell over 2M.
Now we also have phones and tablets to concider, but if we look strictly at the dedicated handheld systems, the handheld domination were a lot stronger in the previous generation, where DS and PSP sold 50+ million units combined. I think that the 3DS and the Vita will get far behind this. Even with the very strong DS and PSP sales, both the Wii and the PS3 (it will happen) reached 10 million units sold. It is possible that neither of the next generation consoles will reach 10 million units sold indeed, but i think it is hard to predict looking at how the PS3 and the Wii sold, despite having incredible strong DS and PSP sales to compete with.Handheld domination combined with rapidly ageing population and it's not that far streched. Would have probably happened last gen if it had been normal generation but Wii was able to hit all the right notes and sold to customers that otherwise were not interested in gaming.
Revelaitons - 296,040
Yay!
Media Create 2012 Top 30: http://www.4gamer.net/games/999/G999903/20130125003/
FE 455K.Revelaitons - 296,040
Yay!
I think Wii Party U is more of a wildcard this time around, in the same category as Wii Fit U. Wii Fit sold about 3.56 million (and Wii Fit Plus sold about 2.33 million) for the Wii, but i think the highest LTD prediction i've seen for Wii Fit U so far is around 500k somewhere. Of course, predictions doesnt necessarily indicate anything how something will actually sell, but i guess that people are wondering how the success of the Wii-branded games will transfer over to the WiiU.
Are we referring to the 3DS software? I don't see how NSMB2 could be considered underperforming by a lot but MK7 could be considered a hit out of the park. NSMB and MK series performed similarly on DS and Wii yet NSMB2 is rapidly outpacing mk7. NSMB2 has also had incredible legs and will be selling for a very long time so I'm not sure we can really say anything either way yet.Besides NSMB2 underperforming the original by a lot Nintendo pretty much hit out of the park with everything else.
Are we referring to the 3DS software? I don't see how NSMB2 could be considered underperforming by a lot but MK7 could be considered a hit out of the park. NSMB and MK series performed similarly on DS and Wii yet NSMB2 is rapidly outpacing mk7. NSMB2 has also had incredible legs and will be selling for a very long time so I'm not sure we can really say anything either way yet.
If we were to talk about massive underperformances/bombas on the 3DS, I'd say nintendogs, brain training, proffesor layton, RE:R, and KH are the only major ones.
Probably the next game they will undership.
Media Create 2012 Top 30: http://www.4gamer.net/games/999/G999903/20130125003/
Are we referring to the 3DS software? I don't see how NSMB2 could be considered underperforming by a lot but MK7 could be considered a hit out of the park. NSMB and MK series performed similarly on DS and Wii yet NSMB2 is rapidly outpacing mk7. NSMB2 has also had incredible legs and will be selling for a very long time so I'm not sure we can really say anything either way yet.
If we were to talk about massive underperformances/bombas on the 3DS, I'd say nintendogs, brain training, proffesor layton, RE:R, and KH are the only major ones.
Possibly both.
Bravely Default hanging in there (from MC top 50):
41./40. [3DS] Bravely Default: Flying Fairy <RPG> (Square Enix) {2012.10.11} (¥6.090)
Very much agreed. Also the retail sales probably don't tell us how many people actually played and enjoyed XB as the audience it appealed to wasn't that invested anymore in the Wii at the point XB arrived so many more probably played it used. You can easily buy a console used (and sell it again later) to play just one game too, it isn't just Vita.
Case in point: XB used prices start at 4700 yen on Amazon, that's less than 1000 yen from the new price. The Last Story on the other hand totally collapsed both for the new (1750 yen) and the used version (730 yen).
I personally preferred TLS (but I also liked FFXIII, better than XIII-2), but JRPG fans were just eating up XB. I think Monolith Soft's next game on Wii U should easily double XB in upfront sales.
Besides NSMB2 underperforming the original by a lot Nintendo pretty much hit out of the park with everything else.
Sure, i just mean that this could be the reason why not many are talking about Wii Party U, because it is more uncertain if it will be a system seller or not.These games don´t have to sell the same amount as the predecessors to be considered valuable system-sellers. Without a doubt Final Fantasy XIII has seen a decline compared to X and XII but no one denys that FF13 has been a important system seller for PS3 in Japan. So even in case that sales of Wii Party U will be cut in half or 1/4 it would still be 1M or 500k units both benchmarks which only a select few managed to overcome on PS3. To put it in some context, on PS3 only FF13 managed to sell over 1M and on PSP only the Monster Hunter franchise.
Seems there are more demand than they anticipated, especially for Demon Gaze.
Seems there are more demand than they anticipated, especially for Demon Gaze.First day sell-through:
[PSV] Monster Monpiece: over 75%
[PSV] Demon Gaze: almost 90%
First day sell-through:
[PSV] Monster Monpiece: over 75%
[PSV] Demon Gaze: almost 90%
[PS3] Kami-sama to Unmei Kakumei Paradox: 60~70%
[PS3] Hitman Absolution: 40~50%
[PSP] Gintama no Sugoroku: ~40%
what are you expecting LTD-wise for the Wii U in Japan?
is it too early, or do you have an "estimation" based on its nature, on the actual market, on the first-year lineup (they surely unveiled a vast part of it two days ago) and so on?
I would say that could be in-between GC and Wii LTD HW sales IF they'll be able to gain more third party support than the one unveiled up to now in terms of "Japanese-centric" production (like Mosou games, RPG games, Taiko-games and so on)
I would be interested also about other Gaffers on this topic
1. Mario Kart 64 1,711,661
2. Super Mario 64 1,639,921
3. Super Smash Bros. 1,631,859
4. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 1,143,570
5. Pokémon Stadium 1,094,765
6. Mario Tennis 64 969,888
7. Mario Party 2 884,249
8. Kirby 64: The Crystal Shards 882,230
9. Yoshi's Story 852,846
10. Donkey Kong 64 848,375
1. New Super Mario Bros. Wii Nintendo 4,391,312
2. Mario Kart Wii Nintendo 3,550,714
3. Super Smash Bros. Brawl Nintendo 2,094,464
4. Mario Party 8 Nintendo 1,427,575
5. Animal Crossing: City Folk Nintendo 1,221,459
6. Monster Hunter 3 Capcom 1,070,743
7. Super Mario Galaxy Nintendo 1,017,287
8. Super Mario Galaxy 2 Nintendo 1,003,763
9. Donkey Kong Country Returns Nintendo 952,018
10. Super Mario All-Stars Nintendo 916,410
Handheld domination combined with rapidly ageing population and it's not that far streched. Would have probably happened last gen if it had been normal generation but Wii was able to hit all the right notes and sold to customers that otherwise were not interested in gaming.
Wii sold very well for the first couple of years. It's just that after that it dropped off the cliff (first in Japan and then in west) because of nonexistent third party support.
It´s an important game and its predecessor managed to sell over 2M.
PS3 is at 9 milions despite
- Wii compeition for casual market
- Microsoft buying exclusives left and right
- rediculus price tag
- dev tools which made releasing games for it a nightmare
Considering noone of the above will repeat next gen PS4 should have no problems reaching those 10 milions
Yeah, no problems. Right.
11-year anniversary of the Japanese release.
Does anyone expect Wind Waker HD to sell systems? I don't see why it would, but I also wasn't as excited by the Nintendo Direct as it seems many are. Maybe that I'm trying to not buy a Wii U anytime soon in order to purposefully tackle the lack of free time and back log of games is tinting my view of the ND announcements (i.e. essentially two new games that weren't expected were announced in the form of 'X' and SMTxFE)?
I feel the Nintendo Direct largely appealed to their most enthusiast niche audiences.
That's why I raised the open question of "while that definitely appealed to me, will it ultimately appeal to Japan (in terms of helping really move a lot of consoles)".
I feel the Nintendo Direct largely appealed to their most enthusiast niche audiences.
That's why I raised the open question of "while that definitely appealed to me, will it ultimately appeal to Japan (in terms of helping really move a lot of consoles)".
Their E3 announcements seem like more mainstream products (SSB, Mario, Mario Kart).
Japan trapped by legacy?Japan <3 Nintendo.