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Media Create Sales: Week 6, 2013 (Feb 04 - Feb 10)

L Thammy

Member
I'll read through the rest of the thread when I get home so this might be a little off topic, but here's something that seemed strange to me when making the chart.

How were the PS3's sales so high when it had such a horrible software drought following launch? Its software situation was objectively worse than the Vita or Wii U. Was it a holiday boost or the effect of the PS2? Better 2006-2007 economy?
 

Miles X

Member
No one is expecting this. Iwata himself said that the Wii was lightning in a bottle. Who said that the Wii U was going to be doing Wii numbers, or are you just making stuff up again?

Reggie is, and other nintendo spokes people, they've talked about how this time WiiU can achieve more than Wii sales wise.
 

Busaiku

Member
That's about more in line with what I was expecting.
Though I still wonder if it'll have a longer life than the other remakes or not.

I would think so, but not completely sure.
 

Road

Member
[]http://i.imgur.com/SLp8C86.png[/]

That's why people should never expect the Wii U, or any console, to be the Wii. It's obviously the exception and not the rule.

The winning console is 1 out of 3 or 4, so, in that sense, yes, they are the exception.
 

Mileena

Banned
Sticker Star was my GOTY across all platforms. It's now the best selling Paper Mario game ever in Japan. Sucks that you don't like it, I guess.
Judging by the metascore and GAF responses I'd say that a lot of PM fans don't like it.
 
No one is expecting this. Iwata himself said that the Wii was lightning in a bottle. Who said that the Wii U was going to be doing Wii numbers, or are you just making stuff up again?

Remind me again who set the Wii U sale's projections? Then remind yourself who just reset those projections and reduced them by 1.5 millon units. Are you seriously telling me Nintendo didn't expect another Wii out of the gate? Now read the threads from just before release. Notice all the people (my idiot self included) that said the Wii U would be hard to find in any store for months after release. Pachter, the mangod of awesome predictions himself, projected that the Wii U would sell out consistently through April. He bought Iwata's projections hook line and sinker. Now tell me again with a straight face that I'm making stuff up.

Reggie is, and other nintendo spokes people, they've talked about how this time WiiU can achieve more than Wii sales wise.

I think Reggie was speaking about lifetime sales. I bet the PS3 even sells what the Wii eventually did. I was speaking more about launch expectations. The way Wii sales fell off a cliff 3 years ago, it shouldnt be out of the realm of reality for Nintendo to expect to sell as many Wii Us as they did Wii if they don't make the mistake of cutting off support for it years in advance of a new console. I also assume they thought they'd have much better third party support this time around.
 

RM8

Member
Judging by the metascore and GAF responses I'd say that a lot of PM fans don't like it.
Metascore isn't really any indication of how a market reacted to a product. Success and long legs are much better in this case. GAF isn't either, but even in this case there's plenty of us around here who think Sticker Star was fantastic.

But hey, people don't really enjoy NSMB games and stuff.
 

saichi

Member
The discussion within the thread turned to a more general discussion. I didn't start that divergence, but I commented on it. Tangents often sprout up within threads, and this one was related to sales so at least it's semi-on topic.

You actually did. Everyone who quoted you thought you meant the Japanese releases because there is no indication it's a discussion about WW release.
 
Oh God, here we go again.

Do you think Monster Hunter 4 would save Vita?

Edit: Paper Mario's seemingly underperformance in the west will probably give Nintendo pause about what happened with that title. Although honestly the 3DS market in the west is probably to blame for that rather the general public just not liking it.
 

SmokyDave

Member
All charts launch-aligned.

Smfn0Di.png
Woah, the PS3 had a seriously rocky opening. Astonishing turnaround that console has seen.
 
Dude, I'm sure you feel that way and more power to you. That's exactly what I'm saying though, the libraries are very different. If you dig one, you probably won't dig the other. You can't replace a 3DS with a Vita and you can't replace a Vita with a 3DS. That's why it's such a shame that only one of them is commercially viable.

That's not very true. I liked the DS library a lot, and in the meanwhile I found satisfying PSP line-up. Vita is not having a fraction of what the PSP had.
 

RM8

Member
Edit: Paper Mario's seemingly underperformance in the west will probably give Nintendo pause about what happened with that title. Although honestly the 3DS market in the west is probably to blame for that rather the general public just not liking it.
In any case, the two most successful PM games are SPM and Sticker Star. I really doubt Nintendo is going back to the TTYD/64 formula, and as much as I love all four games I really don't mind the series losing its RPG-ness one bit.
 
Woah, the PS3 had a seriously rocky opening. Astonishing turnaround that console has seen.

PS3's problem was always just the price was too damn high. It always (by default) was going to be the Japanese 3rd party console of choice and due to that it was able to recover. It's why the PS4 will have a rough road launching in Japan at 40k yen.
In any case, the two most successful PM games are SPM and Sticker Star. I really doubt Nintendo is going back to the TTYD/64 formula, and as much as I love all four games I really don't mind the series losing its RPG-ness one bit.

In Japan.
 
lol since when was this a nintendo thread. Theres no need to get so defensive about another person's comment unless it is factually wrong (or morally).

It's not odd for a sales thread to take a few detours after 5 pages of the usual "3DS is beasting, Vita is dead, Wii U's in trouble, 360 Who?" comments. NPDs threads are the same. They start specific and then get more general as the sales for one specific region are viewed in the bigger picture. The Vita's problem is that the big picture is pretty much the same as each and every microcosm. In other words doing poorly. Wii U is the same. 3DS is a different beast altogether. Gangbusters in Japan, much more tepid most everywhere else, but still on a completely different level than Vita.
 
you're seeing the future of wii u, old chap.

2 years of massively underperforming to be saved when the console is half of its launch price and a large selection of 3rd party games?

Just gives you an idea of how in this industry, you can never be sure, it isn't over until the fat lady sings. That goes for vita as well.

When Vita has announced successors to Final Fantasy, Metal Gear, Tales, and Yakuza I will say there is a chance. While people called the PS3 dead, the 360 didn't stand a chance. The Vita is the scenario where the 360 was actuallly able to dominate Japan and the ps3 didn't get multiplats with the 360.
 
If there actually is a JP Nintendo Direct tomorrow, and it does include third-party Wii U games... well, no more benefit of the doubt on Japanese support if that fails to deliver. Not that I'm giving them much as is.
 

SmokyDave

Member
PS3's problem was always just the price was too damn high. It always (by default) was going to be the Japanese 3rd party console of choice and due to that it was able to recover. It's why the PS4 will have a rough road launching in Japan at 40k yen.
It's just surprising when you see it laid out like that. I remember the rough start in all regions (although it did OK here in the UK).

Just gives you an idea of how in this industry, you can never be sure, it isn't over until the fat lady sings. That goes for vita as well.
Indeed. Even now we won't know who 'won' this gen for a few more years. I think we can comfortably count the Vita out as a 'serious' contender to the 3DS but there's still time for it to struggle to a point where we say 'I can't believe people genuinely thought this would be discontinued in 2013'.

you're seeing the future of wii u, old chap.
In Japan? Probably. Globally? I doubt it. Mind you, the Wii-U will always live under the shadow of the Wii which is a tough burden. Much like the PS3 following the PS2, I guess.
 
No reasonable person ever, not even for a second, doubted that the 3DS would be a huge success.

I never doubted it would succeed in Japan. I did certainly expect Vita to put up a much bigger fight before the price drop/MH announcement. At that point it was pretty much over.

Some people on GAF STILL argue that it is a failure. Ridiculous.

It's certainly not a failure, but I wouldn't call the way the 3DS has been handled in the west a real success story either with the overpriced games, long localizations, lack of colors, etc.
 

famfrit

Member
No reasonable person ever, not even for a second, doubted that the 3DS would be a huge success.

Make sense. PSP have less than 30% of market share, looks logic that Vita cant surpass 3ds when PSP cant do anything against DS.

Plus, Sony pokémon killer Monster Hunter is on 3DS now...

Thats why sony needs Invizimals to just kill for ever pokémon on the globe

just kidding XD vita will be dead when pokemon XY launch
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
No reasonable person ever, not even for a second, doubted that the 3DS would be a huge success.

Some people on GAF STILL argue that it is a failure. Ridiculous.
 
It's just surprising when you see it laid out like that. I remember the rough start in all regions (although it did OK here in the UK).


I


.

apart from launch day ps3 launched horribly in the uk, massively overshipped with several retailers discounting it by 50 quid within the first week
 

SmokyDave

Member
Some people on GAF STILL argue that it is a failure. Ridiculous.
Are you speaking strictly about Japan or globally?

It's missed every sales projection Nintendo ever set for it hasn't it? It's not that huge of a stretch to class that as 'failure', even if it's a roaring success in one region.

Before someone jumps down my throat with 'IT'S A JAPANESE THREAD!', I'm just enquiring as to how the device has been categorised as a failure. Some quotes would help.
 
Yup, simply becuase it won't sell as much as the fuckin' DS.

So your issue is with Nintendo themselves then. Remember, the only sales metrics that really matter are the ones set by the company selling the product. If they fail to reach their own goals, they're by definition failing.
 
I wonder if they actually believe they'll ever reach DS/Wii numbers again.

I doubt any company sets out to do worse than they did the prior generation. So I'd say yes they believed they could. And now possibly they don't, but secretly hope that they can. They'll never replicate the Wii's stellar start at this point. It's too late for that, but it's not too late to outsell it. Like I said, the PS3 will probably outsell the Wii when all is said and done. They probably have more realistic numbers in mind for the 3DS as well since smartphones/tablets have destroyed a large portion of their DS audience.
 
So your issue is with Nintendo themselves then. Remember, the only sales metrics that really matter are the ones set by the company selling the product. If they fail to reach their own goals, they're by definition failing.

By definition failing to meet their own estimates, you mean, sam.

There are lots of metrics to be measured against. "Failing" when used by consumer media for instance generally refers to a product which is not healthy or gaining any traction in the market. The 3DS is neither.
 

marc^o^

Nintendo's Pro Bono PR Firm
the only sales metrics that really matter are the ones set by the company selling the product. If they fail to reach their own goals, they're by definition failing.
Nintendo are bullish with their predictions.

Yet didn't 3DS sell the most consoles last year WW, out of all machines?
That's another mean to measure success. If you are failing when you are the best, what does it say about others behind you?

Besides 3DS western lineup was pretty disappointing last year.
2013 is another story, even when you put aside the pokebomb.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
Besides 3DS western lineup was pretty disappointing last year.
2013 is another story, even when you put aside the pokebomb.
Which 3DS games are coming out in 2013 that has much sales potential in the west? Besides Pokemon as you mentioned. Animal Crossing i guess is one of them, but what else is there?
 
Nintendo are bullish with their predictions.

Yet didn't 3DS sell the most consoles last year WW, out of all machines?
That's another mean to measure success. If you are failing when you are the best, what does it say about others behind you?

Besides 3DS western lineup was pretty disappointing last year.
2013 is another story, even when you put aside the pokebomb.

Most companies are bullish with predictions. And then they readjust (or in the case of Sony they readjust, and then readjust, and then readjust and...you get it). The problem with Nintendo being ultra-bullish is that they're selling a bill of goods to third parties about what to expect sales-wise, so those companies make their own sales estimates for their games based on Nintendo's. Unfortunately unlike on TV where if a network claims a show will get X amount of viewers and then charges advertisers X amount of money to advertise on the show, Nintendo won't make up the costs to the third parties for their inflated estimates that dont get met. Regardless though, publishers should be coming up with their own ballpark estimates as well and not rely on Nintendo. I dont think you'll find many people that thought the Wii U would gain so little traction out of the gate after how well the Wii performed.

Which 3DS games are coming out in 2013 that has much sales potential in the west? Besides Pokemon as you mentioned. Animal Crossing i guess is one of them, but what else is there?

It's Pokemon. Animal Crossing has been popular here, but it's not nearly what it is in Japan.
 

marc^o^

Nintendo's Pro Bono PR Firm
Which 3DS games are coming out in 2013 that has much sales potential in the west? Besides Pokemon as you mentioned. Animal Crossing i guess is one of them, but what else is there?
In the near future we can look forward to Fire Emblem, Luigi's Mansion, Castlevania, Brain Training or Monster Hunter.
 

javac

Member
In the near future we can look forward to Fire Emblem, Luigi's Mansion, Castlevania, Brain Training or Monster Hunter.

And before anyone asks, yes these games have the potential to sell well, even in the west! Yeah, shock horror!
 
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